electronic dollar Top stories

2024-12-13 05:45:50

Concentrate on doing big things while deploying the market. When the normal operation of the economy is in the inflation range, the market has higher strength and efficiency in resource allocation, then the market has the final say. When it is in the shrinking range, the market deployment fails, such as our current long-term debt, so it is driven by policies. We must know that next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan to solve the debt. We must know the buyout reverse repurchase operation of 800 billion yuan some time ago, unlessWell, I wish you all a smooth investment in the new week. Some of the contents are a bit so, and you can go to the public snowball if you can't see it. I wish you all a good account.We used to tell you that we should look at the expectation of news stimulus together with exchange rate, national debt and bulk. From our point of view, the biggest problem in the A-share market lies in the mood. Compared with other markets, professional investors will be relatively calm. Let's take a look at Friday's composition about the biggest interest rate cut in ten years, right? Let's look at the exchange rate, national debt and commodities, which are definitely devalued. When the A-share market moves, it is accelerating the appreciation range. Look at 30 bonds and 10 bonds. Theoretically, the interest rate is reduced, and the interest rate is also reversed. Let's look at commodities. The sharp differences fell below 0.5 of Fibonacci's retracement after the morning closing, and even hit a new low at night. Several representative threads and so on can almost be said to have gone down after a while, that is, the attitude of big money is an emotion. On the other hand, A shares resisted all day, so you said that the national team did not intervene?


As you can see, as long as the weight is not hard to pull, the index is a range shock, but the theme is crazy, full of money-making effect and money-losing effect. Slow cattle are a lot of tenbiger stocks, but the Shanghai Stock Exchange may look back and the annual line will rise by about 10%. This is slow cattle.Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.


First, the economic transformation. Let's talk about the debt. In the past, our big bull markets all relied on the mapping of overseas currency issuance. As we said before, whether it was 05 or 15, it was essentially a small basin with a lot of water. The currency overflow caused by the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves flooded into the stock market, and a crazy bull came quickly, including our institutional blue-chip bull in 1718. In essence, it was the rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves or the superposition of high reserves exceeding m2. Here is a message that everyone needs to pay attention to.This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.Well, I wish you all a smooth investment in the new week. Some of the contents are a bit so, and you can go to the public snowball if you can't see it. I wish you all a good account.

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